Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.87
	2.4	2.85	3
	2.42	3.04	3.03
	2.46	3.03	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.04	2.94
	2.4	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
38.2%

Draw
31.1%

Rampla Juniors
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Cappi S. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
63', Franca S. 🟥,
90+2', Buffarini J. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 3.

Fenix has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rampla Juniors is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
30.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
05.12.19	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
14.07.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
01.06.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:1
22.07.18	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0

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