Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 18

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)


	Rampla Juniors		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.52	2.88	2.78
	2.61	2.95	2.8
	5.57	4.09	1.54	Watch
	2.62	2.7	2.8
	2.53	2.85	2.75
	2.75	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.55 (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
31.5%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Maldonado
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 🟥,
45+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rampla Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Artigas - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLLW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rentistas - Deportivo Maldonado	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0
28.03.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1
27.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
Uruguay Copa
06.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1

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