Match Info

Segunda Division - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo Maldonado		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.72	2.82
	2.52	2.85	3.04	Watch
	2.63	2.69	2.78
	2.71	2.71	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.72)	2.74 ↓ (2.86)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
34.9%

Draw
33.2%

Atenas de San Carlos
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Atenas de San Carlos aligns with the current prediction.

Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Maldonado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atenas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.25	Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWL
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.11.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Artigas - Atenas de San Carlos	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
31.08.19	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	1:3
Club Friendly
01.02.15	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2

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