Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Rancho Santana		Real Madriz

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.98	3.25	3.2
	2.02	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.03	3.58	3.37	Watch
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.03	3.37	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.86)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	3.34 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rancho Santana
45.6%

Draw
27.1%

Real Madriz
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

22.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Real Madriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rancho Santana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Rancho Santana - Real Madriz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Rancho Santana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rancho Santana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Rancho Santana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rancho Santana	10	1	2	7	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rancho Santana FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Rancho Santana	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Rancho Santana - Walter Ferretti	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Real Estelí - Rancho Santana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 LLLTW
- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
19.02.26	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Managua - Real Madriz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.11.25	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	1:0

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