The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Sébaco 59.7%
Draw 22.1%
Rancho Santana 18.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
22%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
22.1%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Sport Sébaco - Rancho Santana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 5.
Sport Sébaco is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Rancho Santana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rancho Santana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sport Sébaco has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Sport Sébaco carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sport Sébaco has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:4 (averaging 2.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sport Sébaco against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).
Nicaragua
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