Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)


	Real Estelí		Rancho Santana

	1	X	2
	1.11	8	15
	1.07	7.9	18.5
	1.07	10.89	19.38
	1.1	9.33	19.57	Watch
	1.08	10	21
	1.06	12.6	24	Watch
	1.08	7.5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.17)	9.46 ↑ (6.51)	19.49 ↑ (15.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
85.5%

Draw
9.8%

Rancho Santana
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.6%

14.3%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Estelí's performance.

Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Real Estelí - Rancho Santana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 4.

Rancho Santana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Estelí is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 4:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18
10	Rancho Santana	10	1	2	7	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Real Estelí - UNAN Managua	6:3 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Managua - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	Real Estelí - Managua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWL
- Rancho Santana FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.02.26	Rancho Santana - Managua	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Rancho Santana - Diriangén	0:4 ✺
16.11.25	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.10.25	Real Estelí - Rancho Santana	4:0
04.08.25	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	0:1
01.03.25	Real Estelí - Rancho Santana	3:0
18.01.25	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	3:2
05.10.24	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	1:3
02.08.24	Real Estelí - Rancho Santana	5:0

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