The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UNAN Managua 17.3%
Draw 24.4%
Real Estelí 58.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
24.8%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
23.5%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAN Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
UNAN Managua - Real Estelí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Lemus F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Guerrero J. 🟥,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Real Estelí has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Real Estelí is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UNAN Managua has recorded 0 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:47 (averaging 0.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UNAN Managua against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with 8:22 goals (averaging 0.8:2.2 per game).