Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Rancho Santana		Managua

	1	X	2
	8.50	4.80	1.28
	6.75	4.80	1.28	Watch
	7.48	5.50	1.29
	8.2	5.7	1.29	Watch
	7.40	5.40	1.26
	7.33	4.97	1.37
	7.20	5.40	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.55 ↑ (6)	5.22 ↑ (4.3)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rancho Santana
12.1%

Draw
17.4%

Managua
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.5%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

19.9%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Managua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Managua than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Rancho Santana - Managua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Managua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Managua (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Managua (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Gomez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
53', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Gomez N. ⚽,
74', 1 - 3, Guarch T. ⚽,
78', 1 - 4, Calderon J. ⚽,
89', 1 - 5, Reyes M. ⚽,
90+10', 1 - 6, Ramirez C. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rancho Santana won 0.

Rancho Santana has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Managua shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Managua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Managua as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rancho Santana has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:24 (averaging 0.4:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rancho Santana against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 3:16 goals (averaging 0.6:3.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Managua FC	10	8	2	0	33:10	23	26
10	Rancho Santana	10	1	2	7	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rancho Santana FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.09.26	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Matagalpa - Rancho Santana	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Rancho Santana - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rancho Santana - Walter Ferretti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWLL
- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.09.26	Managua - Real Estelí	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Walter Ferretti - Managua	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Managua - Diriangén	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.07.26	Managua - Rancho Santana	2:1
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
11.07.26	Managua - Rancho Santana	2:0
05.07.26	Rancho Santana - Managua	2:3
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.03.26	Managua - Rancho Santana	1:0
01.02.26	Rancho Santana - Managua	1:1
19.10.25	Rancho Santana - Managua	0:5
02.04.25	Rancho Santana - Managua	0:4

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