Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 13

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Rangers de Talca		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.02	3.4	3.3
	2.46	3.2	2.8
	2.06	3.46	3.32	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.02	3.4	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.04)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	2.93 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
40.2%

Draw
28.4%

Santiago Wanderers
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rangers de Talca's form might have worsened.

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rangers de Talca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 34. Valenzuela R. 27. Servetti C. 3. Vasquez K. 6. Cortes M. 8. Marquez A. 24. Gomez T. 22. Plaza D. 13. Mora A. 19. Gonzalez D. 7. Ibanez I.	36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 16. Navarro P. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 23. Flores I. 37. San Martin D. 14. Ponce C. 9. Camarda M.
Substitutes
37. Castro M. 25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 20. Moya G. 36. Munoz Caru R. 4. Navarrete J. 18. Rodriguez A. 5. Silva S.	35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 24. Dubo A. 10. Luna J. 29. Silva C. 32. Vargas V. 15. Villarroel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Marquez A. 🟨,
31', Flores I. 🟨,
45+3', Campestrini C. 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Navarro L. ⚽,
45+8', Silva J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Flores I. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
46', Vasquez K. 🟨,
49', Plaza D. 🟨,
55', Plaza D. ↓, Moya G. ↑,
55', Valenzuela R. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
62', Martinez B. 🟨,
64', Mora A. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
71', San Martin D. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
71', Camarda M. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
79', Navarro L. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Ponce C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 1.

Recent form of Rangers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santiago Wanderers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Wanderers	26	12	8	6	41:28	13	44
16	Rangers	26	4	6	16	23:42	-19	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Unión San Felipe - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Curicó Unido - Santiago Wanderers	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.08.25	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	0:0
26.04.25	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	3:3
17.08.24	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	4:0
06.04.24	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	1:0
27.09.23	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	0:0
16.04.23	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	0:1
01.08.22	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	1:2

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