Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Ranheim		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.5	4	1.62
				Watch
	4.71	4.41	1.67
				Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.62
	4.52	4.45	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (5.03)	4.17 ↑ (4.1)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
20.7%

Draw
22.4%

Lillestrøm SK
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.7%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ranheim will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ranheim (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lillestrøm (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ranheim (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ranheim (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lillestrøm (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nilsen S. (G) 19. Pereira J. 2. Slordahl P. (C) 3. Aasbak C. 15. Tonne E. 21. Johnsen M. 18. Camara F. 14. Emilsen M. 11. Wenaas V. 20. Alvheim L. 10. Samuelsen A.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 64. Larsson E. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 5. Foss S. 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Olsen T. 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
9. Bye B. 5. Diang M. 16. Diop S. 24. Gangstad H. 26. Gundersen J. 8. Holden O. 6. Kolstad L. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D.	14. Adedeji J. 9. Arierhi K. 23. Asen G. 33. Diop M. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 2. Ranger L. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H.
Coaches
Rismark Ch.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Kitolano E. ⚽, Drammeh S. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Foss S. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Olsen T. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Alvheim L. 🟨,
60', Wenaas V. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
60', Emilsen M. ↓, Holden O. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Olsen T. ⚽, Karlsbakk M. (A),
68', Foss S. ↓, Garnas E. B. ↑,
69', Felix Va ↓, Asen G. ↑,
70', Alvheim L. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
71', Johnsen M. ↓, Kolstad L. ↑,
76', Larsson E. ↓, Ranger L. ↑,
76', Drammeh S. ↓, Adedeji J. ↑,
84', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
84', Tonne E. ↓, Gangstad H. ↑,
90+1', Holden O. 🟨,
90+4', Woxen H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 2.

Ranheim has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lillestrøm is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lillestrøm is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ranheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Ranheim - Start	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Egersund - Ranheim	3:4 ✺
31.05.25	Ranheim - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Åsane - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLT
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Åsane	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Hødd - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Egersund	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Mjøndalen - Lillestrøm SK	0:6 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
21.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.20	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
08.09.20	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.11.19	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
07.04.19	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	2:1
28.10.18	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	3:2
22.04.18	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	0:1

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