Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, TNT Sports 4
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	16:45	Disney+


	Larne		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.9	2.2
	3.3	2.85	2.2
	3.6	2.95	2.25	Watch
	3.92	2.9	2.27
	3.67	2.93	2.21	Watch
	3.69	3.24	2.19
	3.6	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3)	2.96 ↓ (3.4)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Larne
25.8%

Draw
31.8%

Shamrock Rovers
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.4%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	40.9%	45.5%

Larne - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 20. Todd S. 18. Bolger C. (C) 3. Ives L. 27. Gallagher C. 6. Thomson J. 14. Magee B. 25. Sloan D. 11. Graham S. 29. Ryan A.	1. Pohls L. (G) 2. Honohan J. 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 21. Burns D. 19. Poom M. 22. Mandroiu D. 8. McEneff A. 10. Burke G. 24. Kenny J.
Substitutes
31. Joe B. (G) 30. Lusty M. 16. McEneff J. 9. O'Neill P. 8. Randall M. 17. Seary J. 2. Want S.	29. Byrne J. 18. Clarke T. 9. Greene A. 41. Noonan A. (G) 34. Noonan C. 15. Nugent D. 16. O'Neill G. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G) 7. Watts D.
Coaches
Lynch T.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Burns D. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Kenny J. ⚽, Burke G. (A),
27', Graham S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 3, Cosgrove T. (Own goal), Burke G. (A),
37', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Gallagher C. ⚽, Thomson J. (A),
54', 1 - 4, Burke G. ⚽,
60', Thomson J. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
60', Mandroiu D. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
66', Burke G. ↓, Noonan C. ↑,
73', McEneff A. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
73', Poom M. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
73', Burns D. ↓, Clarke T. ↑,
73', Sloan D. ↓, Randall M. ↑,
73', Magee B. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
90+3', Lopes R. 🟨,
90+3', Cosgrove T. ↓, Want S. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Windsor Park.

Recent matches Larne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shamrock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Shamrock have a series of home games.

Shamrock will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Larne: McKendry C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Shamrock: Farrugia N. (Red Card) Gaffney R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Larne: Marsh G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Greene A. (Injury) Hoare S. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
19.10.24	Larne - Crusaders	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Larne - Dungannon Swifts	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Molde - Larne	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.09.24	Cliftonville - Larne	1:3 ✺
24.09.24	Larne - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWW
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
18.10.24	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Shamrock Rovers - APOEL	1:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
27.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	0:3 ✺
23.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLW

Upcoming Matches