Match Info

Date: 7 April 2021, Wednesday


	Ravenna		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.55
	2.65	2.75	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.82	2.9	2.7
	2.7	2.88	2.75
	2.71	3.04	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.12)	2.88 ↓ (3.18)	2.64 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ravenna
33.8%

Draw
31.7%

Cesena
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

21.3%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cesena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ravenna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ravenna - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Ravenna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cesena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cesena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ravenna won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ravenna won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Ravenna - Fermana	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Ravenna - Mantova	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Padova - Ravenna	3:0 ✺
24.03.21	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Gubbio - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Cesena - Mantova	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Cesena - Legnago Salus	0:3 ✺
24.03.21	FeralpiSalò - Cesena	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Modena - Cesena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.20	Cesena - Ravenna	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.11.19	Ravenna - Cesena	2:3
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.19	Ravenna - Cesena	1:1

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