Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cesena		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.45	4	7	Watch
	1.44	4.13	8.8
	1.43	4.13	8.8
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.39	3.94	8.1
	1.42	3.85	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.69)	3.96 ↑ (3.31)	7.77 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
64.9%

Draw
23.3%

Gubbio
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gubbio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gubbio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cesena - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pisseri M. (G) 26. Piacentini M. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 20. De Rose F. (C) 70. Francesconi M. 24. Pierozzi E. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 10. Kargbo A.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 4. Tozzuolo A. 16. Calabrese B. 15. Signorini A. (C) 21. Corsinelli F. 5. Mercati A. 6. Casolari F. 10. Desogus J. 78. Bumbu J. 7. Di Massimo A. 99. Bernardotto G.
Substitutes
4. Chiarello R. 15. Ciofi A. 13. Coccolo L. 92. Coveri V. 25. David A. 30. Giovannini A. 33. Klinsmann J. (G) 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G) 98. Tampieri D. 5. Varone I.	20. Brambilla A. 18. Chierico L. 23. Dimarco C. 77. Greco S. (G) 3. Mercadante M. 19. Morelli G. 31. Pirrello R. 8. Rosaia G. 11. Udoh P.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1.

Cesena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cesena is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cesena to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cesena won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Carrarese - Cesena	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	Cesena - Virtus Entella	4:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cesena - Pineto	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Sestri Levante - Cesena	1:3 ✺
13.02.24	Cesena - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Gubbio - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Juventus U23 - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Olbia - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Carrarese - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.23	Gubbio - Cesena	1:1
11.03.23	Gubbio - Cesena	1:1
05.11.22	Cesena - Gubbio	3:0
22.12.21	Gubbio - Cesena	4:1
29.08.21	Cesena - Gubbio	0:0
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1
18.10.20	Gubbio - Cesena	1:2

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