Match Info

Date: 3 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey)

Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)


	Raya2 Expansión		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.81	3.1	4.2
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.92	3.34	4.42
	1.85	3.6	4
	1.85	3.24	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.54)	3.28 ↑ (2.95)	4.05 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raya2 Expansión
49.4%

Draw
28%

Cimarrones de Sonora
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raya2 Expansión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raya2 Expansión's performance.

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cimarrones de Sonora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raya2 Expansión that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cimarrones de Sonora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	7.7%	11.5%

Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raya2 Expansión: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Raya2 Expansión is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raya2 Expansión will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raya2 Expansión won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Raya2 Expansión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.07.22	Tlaxcala - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlante	0:0 ✺
13.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Raya2 Expansión	1:2 ✺
05.07.22	Cancún - Raya2 Expansión	0:1 ✺
29.06.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTWWW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	0:0 ✺
22.07.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
12.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0 ✺
05.07.22	Dorados - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
29.06.22	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.01.22	Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0
15.09.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Raya2 Expansión	1:2

Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide