Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.3
	2.8	2.95	2.37
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.96	3.18	2.43
	2.84	3.13	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.24)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	2.37 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
31.9%

Draw
29.8%

Ferrol
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Majadahonda's form might have worsened.

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Valladolid B - Rayo Majadahonda	4:2 ✺
10.08.22	Real Sociedad B - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Numancia - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Majadahonda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Ferrol - Compostela	4:1 ✺
10.08.22	Arenteiro - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Bergantiños - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Ponferradina - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.22	Ferrol - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1
29.10.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.20	Ferrol - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.12.19	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.05.18	Ferrol - Rayo Majadahonda	3:3
17.12.17	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	2:1

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