Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Arenteiro		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.88	2.88	2.58
	3.12	2.81	2.67
	3.14	2.96	2.37	Watch
	2.92	2.92	2.61
	3	2.83	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	2.87 ↓ (2.96)	2.5 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
31%

Draw
32.1%

Ferrol
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

31.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Arenteiro - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 12. Ochoa M. 6. Val B. 16. Guerrero J. 17. Aguza S. 7. Ferreiro D. 18. Mingo V.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 12. Chema 17. Ramon A. 7. Alvaro J. 14. Tejera S. 5. Noriega J. 23. Pena A. 10. Pascu 9. Escobar A.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 25. Bastida A. 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 8. Gonzalez D. 30. Iglesias F. 21. Llacer L. 2. Moya P. 24. Richarte R. 23. Romera D.	4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 18. Concha D. 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 8. Gorostidi A. 22. Mardones A. 15. Zalaya A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Val B. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Ramon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Pujol E. ⚽,
52', Guerrero J. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
52', Val B. ↓, De Camargo W. ↑,
52', Ochoa M. ↓, Bastida A. ↑,
59', Alvaro J. 🟨,
66', Pena A. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
66', Alvaro J. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
72', Aguza S. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
76', Escobar A. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
82', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
82', Pascu ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Arenteiro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferrol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLTT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Ferrol - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Langreo - Ferrol	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrol - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.22	Arenteiro - Ferrol	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.19	Ferrol - Arenteiro	4:1

Upcoming Matches