Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pontevedra		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.1	4.15
	1.86	3.32	4.41
	1.83	3.12	4.77	Watch
	1.9	3.16	4.43
	1.92	3.1	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	4.27 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
49.2%

Draw
29.3%

Talavera de la Reina
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

29.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Pontevedra (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 8. Abelenda B. 4. Bosch M. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 23. Montoro A. 10. Pino Y. (C) 14. Resende J. 6. Ribeiro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 16. Vidorreta A.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 18. Capo P. 7. Di Renzo G. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 19. Gomez V. 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 6. Pitu 22. Rodriguez F. 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L.
Substitutes
5. Conesa N. 11. Cuesta M. 20. Denia M. 19. Garay B. 7. Gonzalez A. 17. Macias L. 9. Selma D. 1. Sousa E. (G)	15. Arroyo N. 2. Cuenca D. 23. Farrando M. 14. Molina A. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M. 16. Navarro I. 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Eimil V. 🟨,
56', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
56', Capo P. ↓, Navarro I. ↑,
63', Eimil V. ↓, Garay B. ↑,
63', Resende J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
67', Pitu ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
67', Roig A. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Cuenca D. ⚽,
76', Exposito A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Abelenda B. ⚽,
79', Ribeiro A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
84', Bosch M. 🟨,
84', Sanchez L. 🟨,
86', Arroyo N. 🟨,
89', Gomez V. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pontevedra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pontevedra - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ponferradina - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.05.23	Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra	4:2
11.09.22	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.18	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	4:0
05.11.17	Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra	2:1

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