Match Info

Date: 2 January 2021, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.78	3.1	5.25
	1.83	3.05	5.1	Watch
	1.79	3.05	5.2
	1.85	3.19	5.63
	1.73	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3.24	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	5.3 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
52.5%

Draw
29.7%

Alcorcón
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

23.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.2%	17%	12.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alcorcón has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Teruel - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.20	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.20	Alcorcón - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Lealtad - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
09.12.20	Sabadell - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Alcorcón - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.06.20	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
01.10.19	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.18	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
17.12.17	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
13.05.17	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	2:0

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