Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Alcorcón		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.37	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.45
	3.2	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.39
	3.4	3	2.5
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.28	2.95	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.76)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)	2.38 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
28.9%

Draw
31.6%

Almería
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcorcón - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (11.47%), has project points - 48, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (22.29%), has project points - 72, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Alcorcón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Almería is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almería will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.21	Mirandés - Alcorcón	1:3 ✺
05.09.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
27.08.21	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Ponferradina - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.21	Ponferradina - Almería	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Almería - Málaga	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Amorebieta - Almería	2:1 ✺
20.08.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
16.08.21	Cartagena - Almería	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.21	Almería - Alcorcón	0:0
06.12.20	Alcorcón - Almería	0:1
25.06.20	Almería - Alcorcón	0:1
19.10.19	Alcorcón - Almería	2:2
26.05.19	Almería - Alcorcón	0:0
13.01.19	Alcorcón - Almería	0:0
27.05.18	Almería - Alcorcón	0:0

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