What is the expert prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona?

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Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 31, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
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Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
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Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
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Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga
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Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Rayo Vallecano		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	6.75	5.25	1.4	Watch
	6.75	5.25	1.4
	6.9	4.95	1.41	Watch
	6.9	5.28	1.44
	6.19	4.79	1.44	Watch
	7	5	1.36
	7.12	5.32	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↓ (7.28)	5.12 ↓ (5.3)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
14%

Draw
18.6%

Barcelona
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

18%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

17.5%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	3.5%	87.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 49 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 78.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Barcelona (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Barcelona (votes: 23 - 95.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 5. Luiz Felipe 3. Chavarria P. 7. Palazon I. (C) 6. Ciss P. 17. Lopez U. 18. Garcia A. 4. Diaz P. 19. de Frutos J.	13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 24. Garcia E. 15. Christensen A. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. (C) 8. Pedri 10. Yamal L. 20. Olmo D. 11. Raphinha 7. Torres F.
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 28. Becerra S. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 27. Fernandez P. 15. Gumbau G. 11. Nteka R. 22. Pacha 21. Perez F. 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O. 33. Vertrouwd J.	4. Araujo R. 17. Casado M. 5. Cubarsi P. 27. Fernandez P. 29. Fernandez T. 31. Kochen D. (G) 9. Lewandowski R. 16. Lopez F. 18. Martin G. 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G) 26. Torrents J.
Coaches
Perez I.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Batalla A. 🟨,
38', Trejo O. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Yamal L. (Pen),
45', Lopez U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kounde J. 🟨,
59', Lopez U. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
62', Raphinha ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
62', Olmo D. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Perez F. ⚽, Palazon I. (A),
76', Luiz Felipe ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
76', de Frutos J. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
78', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
78', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
90+2', Palazon I. ↓, Pacha ↑,
90+3', Garcia A. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
90+4', Chavarria P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.

Rayo Vallecano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barcelona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Barcelona is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Fort H. (Coach's decision) Gavi (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Bardghji R. (Inactive) Szczesny W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:56. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.8:2.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sunderland - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.25	Levante - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Mallorca - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Barcelona - Como	5:0 ✺
04.08.25	Daegu - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
31.07.25	FC Seoul - Barcelona	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.02.25	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
27.08.24	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2
19.05.24	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	3:0
25.11.23	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:1
26.04.23	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	2:1
13.08.22	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
24.04.22	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide