Match Info

LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	09:00	Disney+
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Belarus	15:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	08:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	19:00	MyTV
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	20:00	Migu
Cyprus	15:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Disney+
Ecuador	07:00	ESPN 2
Finland	15:00	Disney+
France	14:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	12:00	Disney+
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	17:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	09:00	ESPN 2
Peru	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	20:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	Disney+
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Thailand	19:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	15:00	S Sport
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Vietnam	19:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Rayo Vallecano		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.90	4.50
	1.8	3.7	4.3	Watch
	1.83	3.9	4.55
	1.75	3.88	4.56	Watch
	1.81	3.75	4.5
	1.83	3.85	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.84 ↓ (3.85)	4.41 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
53.4%

Draw
24.9%

Elche
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Rayo Vallecano - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 50%). Elche (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Elche (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Elche (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Elche (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Audero E. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 15. Sadick M. 17. Pedrosa A. 4. Diaz P. 6. Ciss P. 8. Lopez U. 19. de Frutos J. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A. (C)	1. Dituro M. (C) 2. Buba Sangare 5. Redondo Solari F. 23. Chust V. 3. Revivo R. 12. Villar G. 47. Morcillo J. 18. Lemar T. 21. Cepeda L. 14. Nino F. 11. Valera G.
Substitutes
9. Alemao 34. Alonso Martin I. 37. Belaid R. 36. Bouare G. 22. Fernandez P. 3. Kumbulla M. 30. Molina A. (G) 7. Palazon I. 21. Perez F. 14. Tsitaishvili G. 23. Valentin O. 33. Vertrouwd J.	26. Barzic M. 6. Bigas P. 10. Buonanotte F. 19. Diangana G. 13. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 15. Lomonaco K. 16. Neto M. 24. Osorio A. 9. Ponce E. 22. Sanchez R. 20. Tete Morente
Coaches
San Jose B.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Morcillo J. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Redondo Solari F. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Villar G. 🟨,
30', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
35', Ciss P. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Nino F. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Ciss P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Villar G. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
46', de Frutos J. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
46', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
54', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
60', Pedrosa A. ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
60', Diaz P. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
61', Nino F. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Valera G. ⚽, Buonanotte F. (A),
72', Lemar T. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
72', Cepeda L. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
76', Balliu I. ↓, Bouare G. ↑,
81', Garcia A. 🟨,
83', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rayo Vallecano for this game.

Confirmed absences for Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Broken calfbone) Luiz Felipe (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Elche: Aguado M. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Back Injury) Ratiu A. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:26 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Vallecano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12:20	-8	9

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.17% Elche: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.26	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	Abandoned ✺
19.09.26	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 T?TWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.26	Villarreal - Elche	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Elche - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Espanyol - Elche	1:3 ✺
15.09.26	Elche - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
29.04.23	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
03.10.22	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:1
18.02.22	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
17.10.21	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:0

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