Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match! Premier, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Rayo Vallecano		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.77	3.86	4.93
	1.69	3.93	5	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.77	3.88	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.8 ↑ (3.58)	4.85 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
55%

Draw
25.2%

Elche
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Rayo Vallecano - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 63.2% – 91%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rayo Vallecano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 5. Luiz Felipe 3. Chavarria P. 7. Palazon I. 23. Valentin O. (C) 17. Lopez U. 19. de Frutos J. 9. Alemao 18. Garcia A.	1. Dituro M. (G) 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 21. Petrot L. 11. Valera G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 15. Tete Morente 42. Buba Sangare 20. Rodriguez A. 10. Mir R.
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 4. Diaz P. 15. Gumbau G. 14. Martin C. 32. Mendy N. 40. Molina A. (G) 16. Mumin A. 11. Nteka R. 22. Pacha 33. Vertrouwd J.	9. Andre Silva 24. Cepeda L. 31. Delgado D. 43. Herraiz A. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y. 12. Villar G.
Coaches
Perez I.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Bigas P. 🟨,
39', Bigas P. 🟨,
45', Mir R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mir R. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
63', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
66', Valentin O. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
66', Palazon I. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Nteka R. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
77', Aguado M. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
77', Febas A. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
83', Buba Sangare ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
83', Alemao ↓, Camello S. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
90+3', de Frutos J. ↓, Martin C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mendez D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Injury) Chust V. (Injury) Diangana G. (Injury) Donald J. (Muscle Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N. (Injury) Perez F. (Back Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.28% Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
22.03.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWT
- Elche CF
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Real Madrid - Elche	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
29.04.23	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
03.10.22	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:1
18.02.22	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
17.10.21	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.20	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:3

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