Match Info

LaLiga - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Movistar Deportes
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Rayo Vallecano		Betis

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.58	3.15	2.92
	2.61	3.25	3.01
	2.61	3.26	2.93	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.74	3.26	2.78	Watch
	2.54	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
36.9%

Draw
30%

Betis
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.3%	44.6%	43.1%

Rayo Vallecano - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 12.7%). Betis will win (votes: 27 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.1% – 56.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Betis (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (1.81) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rayo Vallecano (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Betis (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Betis (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 3. Chavarria P. 23. Valentin O. (C) 6. Ciss P. 22. Pacha 7. Palazon I. 19. de Frutos J. 18. Garcia A.	1. Alvaro Valles (G) 24. Ruibal A. (C) 3. Llorente D. 4. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 18. Deossa N. 21. Roca M. 7. Antony 8. Fornals P. 17. Riquelme R. 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 28. Becerra S. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 4. Diaz P. 30. Gil J. (G) 15. Gumbau G. 5. Luiz Felipe 21. Perez F. 33. Vertrouwd J.	13. Adrian (G) 6. Altimira S. 9. Avila C. 5. Bartra M. 52. Garcia P. 16. Gomez V. 20. Lo Celso G. 25. Lopez P. (G) 40. Ortiz A.
Coaches
Perez I.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Llorente D. ↓, Bartra M. ↑,
9', Roca M. 🟨,
18', de Frutos J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
45+1', Perez F. 🟨,
45+5', Batalla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Deossa N. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
66', Pacha ↓, Camello S. ↑,
66', Valentin O. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
74', Riquelme R. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
74', Fornals P. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
75', Ciss P. 🟨,
84', Palazon I. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
88', Balliu I. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.

Recent performances by Rayo Vallecano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Betis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Red Card) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Amrabat S. (International duty) Bakambu C. (International duty) Bellerin H. (Muscle Injury) Ezzalzouli A. (International duty) Firpo J. (Injury) Isco (Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao (Injury) Diaz P. (Knee Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Inactive) Trejo O. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTL
- Real Betis
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Betis	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Betis - Barcelona	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Torrent - Betis	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Sevilla - Betis	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Betis - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.05.25	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	2:2
22.12.24	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
17.03.24	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	2:0
02.09.23	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
15.05.23	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	3:1
08.01.23	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.03.22	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:1

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