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Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 15
  • Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Espanyol Rayo Vallecano
    Espanyol Rayo Vallecano
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.44 ↑
    (2.31)    		 3.2 ↓
    (3.6)    		 3.1 ↑
    (2.94)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Espanyol
    39.3%    		Draw
    29.9%    		Rayo Vallecano
    30.9%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    41.2% 26.4% 32.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    41.7% 26.1% 32%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    59.1% 22.7% 18.2%

    Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 33.2% โ€“ 76.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Espanyol (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    23. MoroccoEl Hilali O.
      5. SpainCalero F.
      6. UruguayCabrera L. (C)
    22. SpainRomero C.
    24. EnglandDolan T.
      4. SpainGonzalez U.
    10. SpainLozano P.
    11. SpainMilla P.
      8. SpainExposito
      9. SpainFernandez Jaen R.
    		13. ArgentinaBatalla A. (G)
      2. RomaniaRatiu A.
    24. FranceLejeune F.
    32. SenegalMendy N.
      3. SpainChavarria P.
    17. SpainLopez U.
    23. SpainValentin O. (C)
    15. SpainGumbau G.
    21. SpainPerez F.
    19. Spainde Frutos J.
      7. SpainPalazon I.
    Substitutes
      1. SpainFortuno A. (G)
    19. SpainGarcia K.
    27. SpainHernandez J.
    17. SpainJofre
    16. ItalyKoleosho L.
    18. DRPickel C.
    20. SpainRoca A.
    15. SpainRubio M.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
      2. SpainSanchez R.
    14. SpainTerrats R.
    		20. AlbaniaBalliu I.
    28. SpainBecerra S.
    10. SpainCamello S.
      1. SpainCardenas D. (G)
    18. SpainGarcia A.
      5. ItalyLuiz Felipe
    40. SpainMolina A. (G)
    11. AngolaNteka R.
    33. NetherlandsVertrouwd J.
    Coaches
         SpainGonzalez M.
    		     SpainPerez I.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 16', Lopez U. 🟨,
    • 31', Lozano P. 🟨,
    • 39', 1 - 0, Fernandez Jaen R. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 43', Mendy N. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 50', Gumbau G. 🟨,
    • 52', Gumbau G. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
    • 56', Lozano P. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
    • 63', Valentin O. 🟨,
    • 64', Lopez U. 🟨,
    • 70', de Frutos J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
    • 70', Perez F. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
    • 74', Chavarria P. 🟨,
    • 76', Gonzalez U. 🟨,
    • 77', Dolan T. 🟨,
    • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
    • 80', Exposito ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
    • 86', Mendy N. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
    • 87', Dolan T. 🟨,
    • 89', Milla P. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
    • 90+6', Balliu I. 🟨,

    Preview

  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Espanyol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Espanyol: Puado J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Red Card) Diaz P. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Trejo O. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao (Injury) Nteka R. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    04.12.25 Atlรฉtico Baleares - Espanyol 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.25 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:1 ✺
    24.11.25 Espanyol - Sevilla 2:1 ✺
    08.11.25 Espanyol - Villarreal 0:2 ✺
    02.11.25 Deportivo Alavรฉs - Espanyol 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8
    LWWLL
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    04.12.25 Real รvila - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ET ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.12.25 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    27.11.25 Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    23.11.25 Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0 ✺
    09.11.25 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2
    WTLTT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.25 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4
    31.08.24 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    21.05.23 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:2
    19.08.22 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 0:2
    21.04.22 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    05.12.21 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:0
    Club Friendly
    24.07.21 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.10.26 Villarreal - Espanyol ✺
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo ✺

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