The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza 27.6%
Draw 31.3%
Rayo Vallecano 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
31.3%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
23.5%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Zaragoza has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Zaragoza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.
Watch
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