Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 5

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	2.85	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.1
	3.47	3.02	2.21
	3.26	3.09	2.16	Watch
	3.36	3.21	2.18
	2.82	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.51)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)	2.19 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
28.7%

Draw
29.7%

Alcalá
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano B's form might have worsened.

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcalá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcalá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Alonso Martin I. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Becerra S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 2 - 1, Blanco A. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Alonso S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano B won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Quintanar del Rey	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Getafe B - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLTLW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.25	Alcalá - Intercity	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Socuéllamos - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas B - Alcalá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1
24.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	1:2
05.05.24	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:3
14.01.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	2:2
26.02.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1
23.10.22	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0
06.02.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:0

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