The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano B 30.9%
Draw 28%
Trival Valderas 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
28.9%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
28.3%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ballesteros M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟥,
68', 🟥,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 2.
Rayo Vallecano B has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Trival Valderas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rayo Vallecano B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Trival Valderas holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano B has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:28 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Vallecano B against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
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