The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Zuliano 15.4%
Draw 22.2%
Caracas 62.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.8%
25.4%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
26.4%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Zuliano's form might have worsened.
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Zuliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rayo Zuliano - Caracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Corredor L. (G) 36. Jimenez A. 79. Garces S. 20. Chacon P. 25. Julio J. 11. Romero C. 26. Gomez J. 8. Velez J. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 10. Arias J. 23. Ochoa J. (C)
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 5. Vegas M. 33. Correa W. 8. Gudino I. 39. Villarreal A. 9. De Santis J. 7. Robert Hernandez
Substitutes
55. Bustamante W. 1. Camacaro J. (G) 2. Chavez F. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 21. Gomez E. 18. Maldonado C. 3. Marquez J. 19. Martinez G. 28. Pacheco K. 24. Sanchez J. 97. Urbina L. 31. Valencia D.
38. Barrios E. 10. Covea M. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 15. Larotonda C. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 3. Pagano L. 32. Uribe J. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.
Sanvicente N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Ochoa J. 🟨,
33', De Santis J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Villarreal A. ⚽, Gudino I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Vegas M. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
71', Correa W. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
71', Robert Hernandez ↓, Covea M. ↑,
71', Villarreal A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
72', Covea M. 🟨,
74', De Santis J. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
77', Arias J. ↓, Pacheco K. ↑,
84', Gomez J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
84', Romero C. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
85', Colina Bracho J. A. 🟨,
86', Jimenez A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
86', Velez J. ↓, Urbina L. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Colina Bracho J. A. ⚽, Pacheco K. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Covea M. ⚽, Larotonda C. (A),
90+2', Sanvicente N. 🟨,
90+3', Chacon P. 🟥,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 12th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Rayo Zuliano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Caracas carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Zuliano has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Zuliano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Caracas - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Corredor L. (G) 
Garces S. 
Gudino I. 
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