The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Zuliano 25.2%
Draw 26%
Monagas 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
27.9%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.8%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Zuliano's form might have worsened.
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rayo Zuliano - Monagas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Corredor L. (G) 3. Marquez J. 79. Garces S. 22. Orejuela S. 55. Bustamante W. 99. Barrios J. 26. Gomez J. 2. Chavez F. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 24. Sanchez J. 23. Ochoa J. (C)
1. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 21. Rodas A. 29. Henry N. 17. Paz J. 14. Jaramillo F. 5. Colorado J. 70. Arace R. (C) 38. Asibe S. 7. Basante F. 9. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
20. Chacon P. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 34. Diaz F. 36. Jimenez A. 25. Julio J. 18. Maldonado C. 19. Martinez G. 32. Moran J. 28. Pacheco K. 30. Ramirez R. (G) 97. Urbina L. 8. Velez J.
16. Carrion E. 27. Farias E. 31. Fuentes D. 10. Gonzalez L. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 8. Ramirez C. 11. Uruena B.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Jaramillo F. ⚽, Arace R. (A),
45', Basante F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marquez J. ↓, Julio J. ↑,
46', Chavez F. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Maldonado C. ↑,
50', Garces S. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
59', Asibe S. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
61', Colorado J. 🟨,
61', Garces S. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
63', Riveros T. 🟨,
66', Colorado J. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
66', Arace R. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
74', Bustamante W. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez R. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
77', Basante F. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
90+2', Diaz F. 🟨,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 1.
In recent outings, Rayo Zuliano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Monagas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Monagas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Zuliano has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Zuliano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Monagas
11
4
2
5
12:13
-1
14
11
Rayo Zuliano
11
3
2
6
17:23
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Rayo Zuliano - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.34%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Corredor L. (G) 
Garces S. 
Rodas A. 
Henry N. 
Queiroz F. 
