Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Antonio Anzoátegui (Puerto La Cruz)


	Academia Anzoátegui		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.20	2.15
	3.10	3.20	2.02
	3.04	3.30	2.33
	3.5	3.45	2.05
	2.95	3.10	2.25
	3.42	3.47	2.05
	3.10	3.30	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.55)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Anzoátegui
29.3%

Draw
28%

Caracas
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Anzoátegui's form might have worsened.

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Anzoátegui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez W. (G) 2. Bonilla P. 14. Bueno D. 3. Lujano C. 16. Silgado J. 18. Lovera J. 5. Pacheco J. 8. Ruiz E. 77. Barrios C. 17. Caraballo J. 9. Ortiz C. (C)	1. Benitez F. (G) 38. Barrios E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 7. Robert Hernandez 5. Vegas M. 8. Gudino I. 39. Villarreal A. 9. De Santis J. 11. Marquez M.
Substitutes
13. Aguero J. (G) 24. Cermeno C. 15. Diciolla G. 92. Fioravanti L. 95. Franco E. 7. Marin G. 11. Navas E. 72. Perez L. 45. Perez P. 70. Rojas P. 21. Velasco A. 52. Villarroel L.	33. Correa W. 10. Covea M. 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 22. Figueroa A. 31. Garcia P. 27. Gonzalez S. 15. Larotonda C. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 6. Vaquer N. 12. Vegas J. (G)
Coaches
Maldonado G.	Sanvicente N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Caraballo J. ⚽, Barrios C. (A),
45+2', Bueno D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Marquez M. ⚽, Gudino I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barrios E. ↓, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↑,
46', Lujano C. ↓, Fioravanti L. ↑,
46', Silgado J. ↓, Villarroel L. ↑,
63', Cermeno C. 🟥,
65', Zuleta M. 🟨,
66', Marquez M. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
66', Villarreal A. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
66', Vegas M. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
70', Caraballo J. ↓, Rojas P. ↑,
70', Lovera J. ↓, Marin G. ↑,
71', Barrios C. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
83', Fioravanti L. 🟨,
83', De Santis J. 🟨,
83', Yendis J. ↓, Vaquer N. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 11th).

Anzoátegui is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Caracas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Caracas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Caracas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Anzoátegui has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Anzoátegui against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
14	Anzoategui FC	11	1	2	8	6:20	-14	5

Last Results with these Odds

Academia Anzoátegui - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Caracas - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.9%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Anzoátegui
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.09.26	Universidad Central - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo Miranda	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.09.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Anzoátegui	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Monagas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.09.26	Metropolitanos - Caracas	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Caracas - Monagas	0:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Barquisimeto - Caracas	0:5 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.09.26	Trujillanos - Caracas	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Caracas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:3
18.07.25	Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas	0:1
09.02.25	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0

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