Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.86	3.6	4.04	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.85	3.38	4.29	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	4.03 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
49.8%

Draw
27.1%

Burton Albion
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	13%	13%

Reading - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 12. Burns F. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 10. Wing L. (C) 6. Fraser L. 30. Ritchie M. 29. Doyle K. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.	24. Collins B. (G) 5. Vancooten T. 12. Evans G. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 41. Krubally S. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 22. Larsson J. 9. Beesley J. (C) 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed A. 28. Camara M. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 19. Garcia A. 8. Savage C. 25. Stevens J. (G) 22. Stickland M.	14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 38. Newall J. 56. Scutt Z. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F. 50. Williamson J.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Kyerewaa D. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Krubally S. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
68', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
77', Doyle K. ↓, Savage C. ↑,
77', Ritchie M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
79', Vancooten T. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
87', Larsson J. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
87', Williams D. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
90+1', Yiadom A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Reading is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Jacob M. (Injury) Rinomhota A. (International duty)

There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sibbick T. (International duty) Sraha J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Reading won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.37% Burton: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Reading	8	3	3	2	17:10	7	12
8	Burton	9	3	3	3	14:15	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Burton Albion - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.56%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Reading - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Bradford City - Reading	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Reading - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
29.12.25	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.12.25	Brackley Town - Burton Albion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.01.25	Burton Albion - Reading	3:2
01.10.24	Reading - Burton Albion	3:1
20.04.24	Burton Albion - Reading	3:2
30.09.23	Reading - Burton Albion	0:0
English League Championship
30.01.18	Burton Albion - Reading	1:3
23.12.17	Reading - Burton Albion	1:2
07.05.17	Burton Albion - Reading	2:4

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