Match Info

League One - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stevenage Borough		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.75
	2.02	3.2	3.7
	1.85	3.52	4.72
	2.03	3.26	3.77	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.04	3.14	3.86	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	3.9 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
46.6%

Draw
29.4%

Burton Albion
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 6. Sweeney D. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 4. Houghton J. 33. Doherty R. 20. Campbell C. 23. Thompson L. 44. Patterson P. 19. Reid J.	24. Collins B. (G) 5. Vancooten T. 16. Hartridge A. 3. Armer J. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 19. Williams D. 22. Larsson J. 9. Beesley J. (C) 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 15. Goode C. 30. Lubala B. 24. Malcolm J. 17. Pattenden J. 18. White H. 22. Young J.	14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 17. Hazlehurst J. 38. Newall J. 56. Scutt Z. 39. Taroni J. 50. Williamson J.
Coaches
Revell A.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Shade T. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Doherty R. ↓, White H. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Reid J. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Armer J. (Own goal),
67', 2 - 2, Beesley J. ⚽, Vancooten T. (A),
68', Williams D. 🟨,
71', Williams D. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
73', Campbell C. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
76', Earley S. 🟨,
90+3', Reid J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
90+3', Patterson P. ↓, Young J. ↑,
90+3', Thompson L. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sibbick T. (International duty) Sraha J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
13.12.25	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	1:3 ✺
09.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	1:2 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- Burton Albion
English League One
13.12.25	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.12.25	Brackley Town - Burton Albion	1:3 ✺
English League One
02.12.25	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
15.11.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	0:1
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:4
English League One
24.08.24	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:0
13.04.24	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	1:2
09.12.23	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	1:2
English League Two
30.03.15	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	1:1
25.10.14	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	1:0

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