Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.65	6.9
	1.38	4.09	8.68
	1.50	3.66	6.64	Watch
	1.48	3.6	7.85
	1.47	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	3.75 ↑ (3.66)	7.33 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
63.1%

Draw
24.4%

Sámano
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

25.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

24.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Ávila aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Real Ávila - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Perez C. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 3 - 0, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,
51', 3 - 1, Quintela J. ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, Lambea ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Real Ávila is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Ávila - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.25	Sámano - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Numancia - Sámano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sámano - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sámano - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLLT

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