Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	Footballclub


	Numancia		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.35	13.5
	1.17	6.67	18.52
	1.33	4.54	9.02	Watch
	1.2	5.4	16.5
	1.34	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	5.31 ↑ (4.5)	12.99 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
75.2%

Draw
17.6%

Sámano
7.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

18.8%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Numancia - Sámano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Sámano (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sámano (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Numancia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sámano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sámano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Numancia is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWT
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Sámano - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sámano - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sámano - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.25	Sámano - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo	✺

Numancia - Sámano