Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.24	2.85	3.3
	2.42	2.9	3.59
	2.26	2.91	3.31	Watch
	2.34	2.86	3.43
	2.24	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	3.36 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
40.3%

Draw
32.3%

Salamanca
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4%)

Real Avilés - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Momoh D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Real Avilés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Avilés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.01.25	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Coruxo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Avilés - Numancia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTLL
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.01.25	Salamanca - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Salamanca - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Salamanca - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Langreo - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Salamanca - Real Avilés	0:0
02.04.22	Real Avilés - Salamanca	1:0
14.11.21	Salamanca - Real Avilés	0:0
10.03.13	Salamanca - Real Avilés	1:1

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