The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Avilés 19.7%
Draw 31.8%
Tenerife 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
28.6%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
27.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Real Avilés - Tenerife Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tenerife will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Babin J. (C) 12. Granero B. 3. Diaz V. 7. Hernandez R. 16. Gomez A. 18. Gete A. 14. Cayarga B. 11. Rubio R. 9. Santamaria A.
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Balde M. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 10. Gil N. 18. Enric (C) 11. Mesa M.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 20. Campabadal E. 26. Carracedo O. 15. Chukwuma E. 10. Cueto J. 23. El Arbaoui Y. 22. Isi Ros 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J.
5. Calavera J. 9. de Miguel J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 20. Manjam A. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 3. Zoilo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Enric ⚽,
37', Enric 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rubio R. 🟨,
61', Balde M. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
61', Mesa M. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
67', Hernandez R. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
67', Cayarga B. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
73', Fabricio ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
73', Enric ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
77', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
77', Gete A. ↓, El Arbaoui Y. ↑,
83', Santamaria A. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
87', Juanjo ↓, Ulloa A. ↑,
90+1', Babin J. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Bari Q. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
Recent performances by Real Avilés have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tenerife is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tenerife is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Including home match between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Real Avilés - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.