Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Cacereño		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.12	2.98	3.5
	2.17	2.97	3.71
	2.13	3.22	3.37	Watch
	2.11	2.9	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 (2.13)	2.99 ↓ (3.22)	3.55 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
43.3%

Draw
30.7%

Real Avilés
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Cacereño - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez I. (G) 3. Barrio J. 2. Martinez I. 4. Crespo A. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 8. Deco 20. Gonzalez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 7. Fernandez I. 9. Gomez D.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 12. Granero B. 26. Carracedo O. 7. Hernandez R. 8. Bautista K. 16. Gomez A. 18. Gete A. 14. Cayarga B. 11. Rubio R.
Substitutes
23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 22. Hernandez E. 21. Morales A. 1. Nieves D. (G) 6. Rementeria U. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R. 15. Vicente I.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 15. Chukwuma E. 10. Cueto J. 3. Diaz V. 22. Isi Ros 2. Ortega G. 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Campabadal E. 🟨,
3', Martinez I. 🟨,
4', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Bautista K. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Rubio R. ⚽,
43', Crespo A. 🟨,
45+2', Martinez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Crespo A. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
46', Campabadal E. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
53', de Diego J. 🟨,
63', Gomez D. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
63', Deco ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
64', Hernandez R. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Isi Ros ⚽,
73', Bautista K. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
76', Fernandez I. ↓, Rementeria U. ↑,
77', Poquet N. 🟨,
80', Cayarga B. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
80', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', 0 - 4, Bari Q. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cacereño could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ponferradina - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cacereño - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLTWT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTW

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