Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.47	4.2	6
	1.5	4.3	5.76
	1.5	4.31	5.76
	1.47	4.29	6.01
	1.51	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	4.18 ↑ (3.7)	5.66 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
61.8%

Draw
22%

Covadonga
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Avilés - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Medina C. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Perez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Poquet N. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Poquet N. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Real Avilés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Covadonga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Covadonga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.04.24	Arandina - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Rayo Cantabria - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.04.24	Covadonga - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Pontevedra - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Covadonga - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Guijuelo - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Covadonga - Cayón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Covadonga - Real Avilés	0:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.01.20	Covadonga - Real Avilés	3:0
23.08.19	Real Avilés - Covadonga	1:1
09.12.18	Covadonga - Real Avilés	4:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.04.18	Real Avilés - Covadonga	2:2

Upcoming Matches