Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 16

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Bougouni		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	8.1	3.75	1.39
	8.67	4.16	1.37	Watch
	8.95	3.92	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.57 ↓ (9.45)	3.94 ↓ (4)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
10.6%

Draw
23.1%

Real Bamako
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

22.7%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3%

22%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Bougouni - Real Bamako Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Bougouni has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Bamako is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bougouni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Bamako is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
07.03.26	Diarra - Bougouni	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Binga - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWLLL
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
08.03.26	Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - Real Bamako	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
06.12.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:0
29.04.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	4:0
06.01.25	Bougouni - Real Bamako	0:3
14.05.23	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:1
08.06.21	Real Bamako - Bougouni	4:0

Bougouni - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide