Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 15Date: 8 March 2026, SundayLocation: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Real Bamako |
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Onze Créateurs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.58 |
3.25 |
5.7 |
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 |
1.85 |
3.22 |
3.7 |
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1.66 |
3.23 |
5.75 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
2.63 |
4.4 |
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1.59 |
3.25 |
6.07 |
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1.56 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.87) |
3.16 ↓
(3.26) |
5.17 ↑
(3.78) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Real Bamako
53.7% | Draw
28.7% | Onze Créateurs
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Bamako's performance.Onze Créateurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Onze Créateurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onze Créateurs than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Onze Créateurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Onze Créateurs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Real Bamako is the team to beat.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Real Bamako | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:14 | 18 | 49 |
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| 12 | Onze Createurs | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:24 | -8 | 26 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 29.11.25 | Onze Créateurs - Real Bamako | 0:1 | | 25.03.25 | Onze Créateurs - Real Bamako | 0:0 | | 07.12.24 | Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs | 0:2 | | 26.01.24 | Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs | 1:0 | | 07.04.23 | Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs | 2:3 | | 12.03.22 | Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs | 0:1 | | 16.07.21 | Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs | 0:3 |
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