Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Lumezzane		Sona

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.57	4.15	4.4
	1.33	4.98	6.48
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.38	4.45	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)	4.17 ↑ (3.94)	5.47 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
61.5%

Draw
21.8%

Sona
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

22%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sona than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Lumezzane - Sona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Lumezzane is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sona is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lumezzane is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lumezzane to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.01.23	Franciacorta - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
21.12.22	Lumezzane - Varese	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Caronnese - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWWW
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.01.23	Sona - Breno	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Folgore Caratese - Sona	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Sona - Desenzano Calvina	2:3 ✺
21.12.22	Sona - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:3 ✺
17.12.22	Real Calepina - Sona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.22	Sona - Lumezzane	0:2

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