Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Santander		Tigres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.58	2.92	2.82
	2.63	2.93	2.94
	2.51	2.87	3.11	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.63
	2.65	3.03	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)	2.88 ↓ (3.24)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
36.2%

Draw
31.8%

Tigres
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (-1%)

Real Santander - Tigres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora J. (G) 19. Ahumada S. 15. Ararat J. 29. Carrasco J. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 35. Montero Alarcon F. 30. Perez 2. Perez J. 7. Rueda Juan 31. Tapia D.	12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 8. Mejia B. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 27. Preciado O. 15. Quinones J. 18. Viafara D.
Substitutes
39. Almeida 13. Caicedo L. 38. Casquete L. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 10. Rivera Mendoza F. I.	19. Arrechea E. 20. Ibarra C. 21. Lopera J. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 28. Mosquera F. 26. Parra G. 6. Valbuena S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Aragon O. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1.

Real Santander is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tigres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Real Santander - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Tigres - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Tigres - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.07.25	Tigres - Real Santander	2:0
01.02.25	Real Santander - Tigres	1:0
04.08.24	Tigres - Real Santander	1:0
15.02.24	Real Santander - Tigres	0:3
20.09.23	Real Santander - Tigres	1:2
14.04.23	Tigres - Real Santander	0:1
07.11.22	Tigres - Real Santander	1:0

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