Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)


	Real España		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.57	3.81	4.78
	1.57	4.1	4.9	Watch
	1.56	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (3.38)	3.98 ↑ (3.69)	4.72 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real España
57.9%

Draw
22.8%

Honduras Progreso
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

24.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.8%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Honduras Progreso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-31.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real España that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+30.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Honduras Progreso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real España - Honduras Progreso Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Real España will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real España: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real España won 3.

Recent matches Real España is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Honduras Progreso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real España could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real España will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 39 head-to-head matches Real España won 23 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 73-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Real España won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.03.23	Real España - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.03.23	Real España - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:2 ✺
08.03.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real España	5:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Real España - Motagua	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Real España	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLW
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	4:2 ✺
04.03.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Honduras Progreso	0:0 ✺
01.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Vida	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
05.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:3
19.11.22	Honduras Progreso - Real España	0:0
11.09.22	Real España - Honduras Progreso	2:0
23.04.22	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:1
26.02.22	Real España - Honduras Progreso	3:0
27.10.21	Real España - Honduras Progreso	4:1
15.09.21	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:1

Upcoming Matches