Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)


	Lobos UPNFM		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.78	3.3	3.75
	1.84	3.28	3.8
	1.82	3.5	3.84	Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
49.6%

Draw
26.8%

Honduras Progreso
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.

Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Honduras Progreso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lobos UPNFM is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 40-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.03.23	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:3 ✺
25.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
15.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLT
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.03.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Honduras Progreso	0:0 ✺
01.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Vida	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
16.02.23	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
28.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:2
15.10.22	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	2:2
13.08.22	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	1:2
19.03.22	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	2:2
22.01.22	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	1:2
16.10.21	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:1
15.08.21	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	3:0

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