Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Humberto Micheletti (El Progreso)


	Honduras Progreso		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.75
	1.78	3.72	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	3.84 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
51%

Draw
25.4%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 2.

Honduras Progreso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad Tocoa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Honduras Progreso is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.05.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Honduras Progreso - Motagua	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Honduras Progreso - Olancho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWT
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.05.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
12.04.23	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
04.05.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	1:2
18.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2
01.02.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	3:2
06.11.22	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	2:2
31.08.22	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	4:0
02.04.22	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:1
09.02.22	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	4:2

Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide