The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real España 64.2%
Draw 21.6%
Génesis PN 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
21.6%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
20%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Real España - Génesis PN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G) 19. Aparicio D. 54. Arana M. 10. Benavidez J. (C) 5. Flores F. 6. Garcia D. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 28. Mejia C. 7. Ritacco G. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.
12. Balanta R. A. (G) 25. Felix B. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 27. Paz J. 30. Riascos J. 5. Rivera A. 22. Sander R. 13. Tejeda A. (C) 2. Vargas A.
Substitutes
16. Arzu E. 4. Capeluto J. 27. Giron A. 11. Hernandez E. 23. Lopez R. (G) 36. Osorto R. 21. Palacios D. 58. Palacios Y. 34. Pike C. 26. Rodriguez J. 20. Romero C. 44. Tatum Ferrera A. K.
26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 21. Marmol E. 50. Matute B. 7. Miranda J. 14. Mosquera J. 8. Nieto J. 17. Nunez D. 79. Palomo A. 6. Ramos J. 75. Santos K. 23. Valencia Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Aparicio D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Sayago D. ⚽,
41', Gabriel Araujo 🟨,
45+3', Sayago D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lopez L. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Sayago D. ⚽,
57', Felix B. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
57', Riascos J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
68', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
74', Melendez D. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
74', Ritacco G. ↓, Osorto R. ↑,
79', Rivera A. 🟨,
83', Sayago D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
83', Vuelto D. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
84', Tejeda A. ↓, Palomo A. ↑,
88', Benavidez J. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Palomo A. ⚽,
90+4', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Génesis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Real España has had a series of away games.
In this match, Real España is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real España won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).
Honduras
Watch
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Lopez L. (G) 
Aparicio D. 
Ritacco G. 
Balanta R. A. (G) 
Gabriel Araujo 
Capeluto J. 
Valencia Y. 
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