Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Victoria La Ceiba		Génesis PN

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.2	3.1
	2.13	3.39	3.27	Watch
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.09	3.13	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)	3.18 ↓ (3.6)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
43.3%

Draw
28.6%

Génesis PN
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perello M. (G) 5. Banegas A. 3. Barrios O. 9. Blackburn R. 23. Bueso G. 20. Espinal M. (C) 33. Garcia J. 2. Martinez M. 4. Oliva E. 38. Ramirez L. 65. Sevilla L.	12. Balanta R. A. (G) 25. Felix B. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 7. Miranda J. 14. Mosquera J. 30. Riascos J. 22. Sander R. 13. Tejeda A. (C) 2. Vargas A.
Substitutes
35. Ardon C. 17. Bernardez C. 48. Card S. 1. Flores E. (G) 27. Guzman J. 8. Kelly K. 42. Martinez E. 6. Matute C. 32. Monico D. 16. Portillo A. 29. Suazo O. 30. Vaquedano B.	26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 11. Moncada W. 8. Nieto J. 17. Nunez D. 19. Perez J. 5. Rivera A. 1. Rodriguez D. (G) 75. Santos K. 3. Santos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Melendez D. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Blackburn R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Melendez D. ⚽,
28', Sevilla L. ↓, Card S. ↑,
33', Espinal M. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 3, Miranda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 2 - 4, Felix B. ⚽,
57', Espinal M. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
57', Riascos J. 🟨,
61', Martinez M. 🟨,
68', Miranda J. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
70', Barrios O. ↓, Bernardez C. ↑,
70', Ramirez L. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
73', Mosquera J. 🟨,
76', Sander R. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
81', Tejeda A. ↓, Moncada W. ↑,
87', Portillo A. 🟨,
90+3', Blackburn R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Victoria La Ceiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Victoria La Ceiba could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLWT
- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.03.26	Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Génesis PN - Platense	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Génesis PN - Motagua	0:5 ✺
06.02.26	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
22.11.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:1
30.08.25	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
30.03.25	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	3:3
30.01.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	1:0
04.10.24	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
04.08.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:2
13.03.24	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	0:0

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