Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	CD Marathón		Génesis PN

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8.25
	1.28	4.85	7.9
	1.31	4.82	8.84
	1.3	5.28	8.98	Watch
	1.3	4.4	8.5
	1.38	4.55	8.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.29)	4.78 ↑ (4.75)	8.43 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
69.9%

Draw
19.2%

Génesis PN
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

CD Marathón - Génesis PN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Samudio C. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 7. Castillo I. 79. Castillo R. 54. Fernandez J. 2. Figueroa H. 11. Messiniti N. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.	12. Balanta R. A. (G) 22. Bodden A. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 7. Miranda J. 14. Morazan O. 17. Nunez D. 27. Paz J. 30. Riascos J. 13. Tejeda A. 2. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Riascos J. ⚽,
29', Aguilera J. 🟨,
30', Riascos J. 🟨,
36', Ramirez D. 🟥,
44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandez J. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
45+2', Morazan O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Balanta R. A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Messiniti N. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Paz J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Nunez D. ⚽,
69', Nunez D. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
69', Miranda J. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
69', Bodden A. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
70', Vargas A. 🟨,
77', Nieto J. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
90+2', Tejeda A. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 2.

In recent matches, Marathón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Génesis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Génesis has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marathón is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	CD Marathón - Platense	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	CD Marathón - Real España	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLT
- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.02.26	Génesis PN - Platense	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Génesis PN - Motagua	0:5 ✺
06.02.26	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Génesis PN - Choloma	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Génesis PN - Real España	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.25	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	0:3
09.08.25	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:0
19.04.25	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	0:0
17.02.25	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:1
23.11.24	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:1
18.09.24	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:2
11.05.24	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:0

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