The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 39%
Draw 27.2%
Olancho 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
27.5%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27.1%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Platense - Olancho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flores B. (G) 27. Espinoza S. 3. Garcia E. 15. Padilla O. 25. Pozantes S. 10. Puerto E. 5. Rodriguez M. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E.
1. Fonseca H. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 20. Cabrera Y. A. 11. Calix C. 24. Elvir O. 5. Martinez D. 33. Munoz N. 27. Murillo D. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 9. Sanchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Martinez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
60', Sanchez J. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
60', Calix C. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
65', Espinoza S. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,
66', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Puerto E. ⚽,
79', Elvir O. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
82', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. 🟨,
87', Munoz N. 🟨,
89', Urbina E. ↓, Mena Velasquez O. J. ↑,
89', Solano E. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
Platense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Olancho is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Olancho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).