Match Info
CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 5Date: 27 August 2025, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Real Estelí |
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Águila |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.77 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.46 |
3.86 |
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 |
1.73 |
3.57 |
4.61 |
Watch |
 |
1.84 |
3.42 |
3.81 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.78) |
3.44 ↑
(3.36) |
4.05 ↓
(4.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Real Estelí
50.7% | Draw
26.7% | Águila
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Estelí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Real Estelí - Águila Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Estelí (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Bonilla B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 0, Talavera W. ⚽,
- 61', Nino H. 🟨,
Preview
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.Águila may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Águila has had a series of home games. In this match, Real Estelí is the team to beat.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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