Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Torre Del Mar

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.6
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.88	3.36	3.86	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.92	3.3	3.87
	1.85	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.81 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
48.2%

Draw
28%

Torre Del Mar
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Torre Del Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torre Del Mar than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Cabello M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Pedro ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, Cabello M. ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.

Recent form of Jaén has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Torre Del Mar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jaén might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.06.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT
- UD Torre Del Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.06.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Motril - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Motril	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Torredonjimeno - Torre Del Mar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.06.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:0
09.03.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:2
26.05.24	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ET
19.05.24	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:1
14.04.24	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:0
25.11.23	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	3:1
15.01.23	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	2:1

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